The underlying fact

[T]he following facts are simply indisputable. The fundamental rationale for the war - the threat from Saddam's existing stockpiles of weapons of mass destruction - was wrong. Period. In the conduct of the war, it is equally indisputable that the administration simply didn't anticipate the insurgency we now face, and because of that, is struggling to rescue the effort from becoming a dangerous mess. Period. So the question becomes: how can an administration be re-elected after so patently misjudging the two most important aspects of the central issue in front of us? It may end up as simple as that. Maybe, in fact, it should end up as simple as that.

Andrew Sullivan, "The underlying fact", October 7, 2004

If you read Andrew Sullivan, you know that he was a vigorous and vocal supporter of the invasion of Iraq. In fact, earlier in the above entry he makes it clear that he still thinks it was right to start the war. I disagreed with him on that, but this one he's got exactly right. We cannot re-elect a President whose judgment is so grievously flawed.